tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post3284621892785441438..comments2023-03-24T21:49:49.118-04:00Comments on Dubious Prospects: And the shape of the world is changedGraydonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09839374676813519438noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-29509212617348369642022-04-27T21:12:10.980-04:002022-04-27T21:12:10.980-04:00+JReynolds
That "eat every day" part is ...+JReynolds<br />That "eat every day" part is why I would wish there was more concern.<br /><br />I do not have the skill or the data access to look at the variance in hay prices, but if I could command StatsCan to do things, they'd be doing that. People don't generally grasp just how bad 2012 was, and how easy it would be for it -- how nearly certain it is that it shall -- Graydonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09839374676813519438noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-5301942076954696422022-04-27T12:58:31.055-04:002022-04-27T12:58:31.055-04:00ISTM that the problem isn't so much 'can w...ISTM that the problem isn't so much 'can we feed everybody when field agriculture stops (partially or completely) working.' <br /><br />Even if the answer is 'yes, just throw lots of capital and labour at $technologies and $physical_plant', the problem is that people need to eat every day. If there's any kind of gap during the transition, you get famine, and all of the JReynoldshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18280938482651545982noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-14684804239239420972022-04-27T07:44:17.198-04:002022-04-27T07:44:17.198-04:00+Display Name --
Humans learn, but the effective r...+Display Name --<br />Humans learn, but the effective response -- air filtration -- takes current industrial productive capacity, and we can't keep that (fossil carbon inputs) and switching it to zero fossil carbon sources gets tricky in the presence of food insecurity and the plague.<br /><br />Sensible people would already be replacing the housing stock for the Time of Angry Weather, and Graydonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09839374676813519438noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-49377044935238584662022-04-27T07:40:41.974-04:002022-04-27T07:40:41.974-04:00+mark -
There is more than enough food today. Th...+mark -<br /><br />There is more than enough food today. That won't be true when field agriculture goes. If it can be true without field agriculture is an open question; I am inclined to think it can be, but it would push much more economic activity and particularly labour into food production. The effort to develop that capacity is not happening, at all, and it needs to be happening with Graydonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09839374676813519438noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-32307471767215465872022-04-27T07:27:59.409-04:002022-04-27T07:27:59.409-04:00On a positive note, humans learn - it doesn't ...On a positive note, humans learn - it doesn't take generations for plague-mitigating behaviour to spread through a population. Admittedly, two years of pandemic hasn't been enough to get some people to wear masks, vaccinate, and follow basic hygiene principals. Within a few decades, the survivors might change their practices.Display Namehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08245681498956710312noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-35416007598809900882022-04-27T06:58:46.606-04:002022-04-27T06:58:46.606-04:00There is more than enough food on Earth to feed ev...There is more than enough food on Earth to feed everyone whether or not a single blade of wheat gets harvested in Ukraine. The political will to provide for everyone is missing. To paraphrase William Gibson - The amenities are already here, they're just not evenly distributed.<br />The material fact is that there is currently enough of everything for everyone's needs. It may be that theremarknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-20779638122274281122022-04-26T18:26:50.629-04:002022-04-26T18:26:50.629-04:00+JReynolds
The raw turnip diet is reserved for th...+JReynolds<br /><br />The raw turnip diet is reserved for those who choose not to work, not for those unable to work. The Commonweal would make an effort to find something you could do, on the one hand, and you'd be a very interesting source of information, on the other. So not much at risk of uncooked turnips.<br /><br />I'd rather use "centre" (of centre, fringe, and Graydonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09839374676813519438noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-105242361638428746.post-50405561884693968922022-04-26T12:02:32.578-04:002022-04-26T12:02:32.578-04:00I believe that you are correct in saying that the ...I believe that you are correct in saying that the pre-2019 status quo is never coming back. We're stuck with COVID for the foreseeable future. Just how bad long COVID will be is still unknown, but all signs are pointing to 'very bad'.<br /><br />It is really unpleasant to realize that on a f*cked-ness scale of 1-10, we're at a steady 10 (most f*cked) on the climate matter. And JReynoldshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18280938482651545982noreply@blogger.com